Last week I took a chance on North Carolina after rumors swirled that Mack Brown may be retiring after their blowout loss to James Madison. I took them on the moneyline — +3 faded from the market before I got involved — and North Carolina found itself up 20-0 in the third quarter. I thought I had a winner. I then left for the Penn State–Illinois game, and if you’ve ever been to a football game with 100,000 fans, you know there is little cell service.
I was not happy when I got back to service and received a text message informing me that UNC had blown the lead.
Oh well. That’s sports for you. A winning week is a winning week. And we don’t need to talk about how I got suckered into Florida State (they held it together for a half) but they’re on the “No Bet List.”
Last week’s record: 3-3-1, +0.25 units
Season record: 18-22-2, -4.34 units, -9.5% ROI
Three plays to kick off this week. At least two plays moved while writing this up, so we will have to wait and see if those come back into range. I’m sure there will be a few additions as we progress throughout the week, so stay tuned as always. We should also see a few totals get played over the next two days after avoiding most of the totals with the hurricane last weekend.
As always, please shop around for the best price and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out on X (@amock419). Best of luck!
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Best bets for college football Week 6
UTEP +10.5 vs. Sam Houston State
For those of you who follow my Football Parlay Friday, we hit Sam Houston State outright against Texas State, and I think we were pretty fortunate there. That was more of Texas State blowing it than Sam Houston winning it. I think the market is giving a little too much respect to Sam Houston going on the road after a big upset like that. My number is closer to a touchdown in this one.
- Worst price to bet: UTEP +10 (-110)
Syracuse +6.5 (-110) at UNLV
Syracuse was a team that had a lot of hype coming into the season before a Week 3 loss to Stanford derailed the train. I’m willing to hop back on here, though. Kyle McCord is playing pretty well, and I’m not sure UNLV is as good as the polls are giving them credit for. I would love for this to get to +7 (and I’ll be buying in more if it does), but I don’t think that’s likely. I think UNLV should be favored, but this price is a bit steep.
- Worst price to bet: Syracuse +6 (-110)
San Diego State -2.5 (-110) vs. Hawaii
Had to fit a favorite onto the card despite all the dogs that I bet above. I’m not high on Hawaii (they might be really bad) and I’m probably a little above market on San Diego State. I like Sean Lewis a lot and I think this team is destined to get better the more times they play this season. My model makes this closer to -6 so some room to breath even if you get -3.
- Worst price to bet: San Diego State -3 (-115)
(Photo of Kyle McCord: Rich Barnes / Imagn Images)
