contributor
Posted:
- Bitcoin miners offloaded significant BTC after a mild surge, cashing in on gains.
- If the market top slips, miner capitulation could rise.
Bitcoin [BTC] miners have recently sold a significant chunk of their holdings, just as mining difficulty hit an all-time high.
This is a critical moment—if miners don’t show confidence in a rebound, it could signal a looming bearish run.
Bitcoin miners are at a crucial juncture
The mining community holds about 9% of Bitcoin’s total supply and is expanding capacity amid record-high mining difficulty.
Historically, miner capitulation—when Bitcoin miners exit due to low profits—often signals local price bottoms during bull markets.
The last time this occurred was on the 5th of July, when BTC fell to $56K after testing the $71K ceiling. Miners exited due to squeezed profit margins, contributing to the price bottom.
Source : Bitcoin Magazine Pro
The chart showed that the 30-day MA is above the 60-day MA, signaling a hash ribbon buy signal. This suggested mass miner capitulation may have ended, indicating miners are staying in despite volatility.
However, a prominent analyst noted that Bitcoin miners sold around 30K BTC after BTC briefly topped $58K, likely to lock in strong gains.
Maybe capitulation now signals both market tops and bottoms. The key is to watch who capitulates first.
Falling reserves can signal market top
While the chart above suggested that miners exiting typically occurs at market bottoms, AMBCrypto examined whether approaching a price top could trigger miner exits.
Interestingly, as BTC nears $60K, Bitcoin miners are reducing their reserves, possibly to lock in profits, reinforcing this hypothesis.
Source : CryptoQuant
As mining difficulty hits an all-time high, many miners might be cashing in on gains to cover their expenses. This could create selling pressure as BTC approaches its next market top.
However, those who can weather the volatility may continue to hold their Bitcoin, as indicated by the buy signal.
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025
The real concern is if BTC hits a market bottom and fails to hold the $57K range; miner capitulation could intensify.
In this scenario, Bitcoin miners might offload large amounts of BTC, not due to low profits but to mitigate greater losses.
